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Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes
why i'm still bearish on LLMs after navier-stokes [thank you to claude fable 5.1, holden saberhagen, gabriel kammer, andres erbsen, alice mckean, and tristan wylde-larue for comments on this post] i'll begin with a few theses for the reader to chew on: - the frontier labs are priced according to the narrative that they have produced or will in the very near future produce a fully automated drop-in replacement for most knowledge workers, but current frontier models need laborious oversight and guardrails on even the simplest tasks. one misled by the headline shows of force (navier-stokes, freebsd RCEs, the huggingface incident) and frontier lab rhetoric into believing meaningful autonomy has been achieved need only look at the software firms continuing to employ and hire bottom quartile software engineers who would score far below the models they supervise on the benchmarks du jour.
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