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AI Predictions for 2025, from Gary Marcus

With a review of last year’s predictions

Truly driverless cars, in which no human is required to attend to traffic, will continue to see usage limited to a modest number of cities, mainly in the West, mainly in good weather. (Google’s Veo 2 seems to be better but I have not been able to experiment with it, and suspect that changes of state and the persistence of objects will still cause problems; a separate not-yet-fully released hybrid system called Genesis that works on different principles looks potentially interesting.) There could continue to be no “GPT-5 level” model (meaning a huge, across the board quantum leap forward as judged by community consensus) throughout 2025.

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