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All Estimations Are Wrong, but None Are Useful


If you're working in a team using the Scrum framework, you use story points to estimate effort on your stories, tasks, etc.

It highlights the recursive nature of estimation, where considering the complexity of a task and human optimism often leads to underestimation. ⚠️ Note that in the book “ The Leprechauns of Software Engineering ”, the author claims the “cone of uncertainty” was never based on solid data. Regular retrospectives and feedback enable continuous improvement, reinforcing the importance of iterative development to facilitate rapid delivery of small, incremental value.

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