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Comparing the Climate and Productivity Impacts of a Shrinking Population


Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, and business professionals.

We thank Jared Bernstein, Maya Eden, Frank Errickson, Jim Feyrer, Chad Jones, Peter Kruse-Andersen, Kyle Meng, Marta Prato, John Podesta, Noah Scovronick, Robert Socolow, Phil Trammell, Sam Trejo, David Weil, Anson Zhou, Stéphane Zuber, Valeria Zurla and participants at the NBER’s conference on Declining Population Growth, the University of Texas’ Workshop on Scale, the University of Oxford, and the White House Council of Economic Advisers (2024) for comments and conversations that have greatly improved the paper. He has had travel funded by the Gates Foundation, the World Bank, the Royal Economic Society, and by many universities for a conference or presentation. In the past, I have been paid a salary as a Research Fellow of r.i.c.e., doing business as name of RICE Institute, Inc, a 501(c) public charity non-profit corporation online at www.riceinstitute.org.

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