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How Soon Might the Atlantic Ocean Break? Two Sibling Scientists Found an Answer—and Shook the World


The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is like a huge heat pump, taking water from the tropics to the north, warming areas in Europe. But as climate change accelerates, AMOC is becoming less stable. It might even be headed to a shutdown.

Some headlines claimed that the AMOC (or as The Guardian incorrectly called it, the Gulf Stream) could “cease to exist” or “collapse” or “totally switch off” in 2025, with implications of human catastrophe within months—not at all what the Ditlevsens had written. It is such a core element of the Earth system that its collapse would radically alter regional weather patterns, the water cycle, the ability of every country to provide food for its inhabitants. It is such a core element of the Earth system that its collapse would radically alter regional weather patterns, the water cycle, the ability of every country to provide food for its inhabitants.

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