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How to cheat at settlers by loading the dice (2017)
prove it with p-values) tl;dr This post shows how to create loaded dice, and how to use these dice to gain between 5-15 additional resource cards per game of Settlers of Catan. Surprisingly, we’ll prove that standard scientific tests are not powerful enough to determine that the dice are unfair while playing a game.
Calculating the exact effect of these additional sources of cards is difficult because these improvements will be built at random points throughout the game. This effect is thought to be one of the reasons that evidence of extra sensorial perception (ESP) continues to be published in scientific journals. The purpose for peer review is for scientists like Vijay to just do a sanity check on the whole procedure to make sure obvious mistakes like this get caught.
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