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Limits to Growth was right about collapse
People have spent years trying to discredit or ignore Limits to Growth. But when you populate the model with the best recent data, collpase starts about now.
This is because the combination of the words “limits” and “growth” in the title produced a lot of critical responses, on a range from straight-up hatchet jobs which misrepresented the book, to people who didn’t appear to understand the systems dynamics model that sat behind it. This improved parameter set results in a World3 simulation that shows the same overshoot and collapse mode in the coming decade as the original business as usual scenario of the LtG standard run. (Source: Nebel et al, 2023, adapted Klement) The last chart assembles something from the data that wasn’t done in the original Limits to Growth work because the concept hadn’t been developed.
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