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Pascal's Scams (2012)


Beware of what I call Pascal's scams: movements or belief systems that ask you to hope for or worry about very improbable outcomes that coul...

nick, WRT plastination:My understanding is that the ability to cold boot humans without loss of function (people resuscitated after cessation of electrical activity in the brain) implies that the structure is what is important. What probability do you assign to the possibility of an AI with initially roughly professional human-level competence (or better, perhaps unevenly) at general reasoning (including science, mathematics, engineering and programming) to self-modify its way up to vastly superhuman capabilities within a matter of hours/days/< 5 years? For the sake of the argument I am going to assume that Nick Szabo shares the views of the Singularity Institute that at some point there will exist a vastly superhuman intelligence that cares to take over the world, which, as far as I can tell, he doesn’t.

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