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Sorry, GenAI is NOT going to 10x computer programming

Here’s Why

We spent 18 months hearing about how Generative AI was going to “10x” coding, improving programmer productivity by a factor of 10. But paraphrasing from memory one of my childhood heroes, the baseball sabermetrician Bill James, if an elephant has passed through the snow, we ought to be able see its tracks. In many ways, AI researcher Francois Chollet nailed this years ago, long before GenAI become popular:

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