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The LLM Curve of Impact on Software Engineers


In this article, I share my personal mental model of how LLMs affect software engineers at different levels, and why this leads to both excitement and scepticism.

It won’t decipher what the customers actually wanted from the ticket you were given, it can’t use your debugger to pinpoint a dangerous race condition, and it can’t help you much when you’re responding to a midnight on-call alert. Almost two years ago now, I was exploring a migration plan from one RPC framework to a few alternative solutions to resolve substantial issues with the former in a large monorepo. The reason some people are sceptical or overly excited is not that they ignore reality, but that the tasks they work on are quite different from yours, which is reflected in their beliefs.

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