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U.S. venture capital outlook for 2025 is looking stronger | Pitchbook


The outlook for U.S. venture capital investments for 2025 looks relatively stronger than what the market has produced in the past few years.

Inflation has been on track to progress toward the Fed’s target level, public markets have experienced meaningful gains over the past year, GDP growth is around 2.5% and steady, and unemployment is reasonable. During the 2020-2021 boom, near-zero interest rates and an influx of nontraditional investors created unprecedented capital availability, pushing the ratio to a low of 0.6x for late- and venture-growth-stage companies by Q4 2021. While an anticipated uptick in exit activity next year could restart the venture flywheel, the backlog of private companies and ongoing capital constraints suggest the recovery is likely to be gradual.

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