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Why AI progress is increasingly invisible
An AI expert argues AI progress hasn’t stalled, it’s become invisible, which could leave us unprepared for the future.
This led to a waveofarticlesdeclaringthatAI progress has hit a wall, lending further credence to an increasingly widespread feeling that chatbot capabilities haven't improved significantly since OpenAI released GPT-4 in March 2023. On Dec. 20, OpenAI announced o3, its latest model, and reported new state-of-the-art performance on a number of the most challenging technical benchmarks out there, in many cases improving on the previous high score by double-digit percentage points. This remarkable improvement—from struggling with even the simplest fixes to successfully handling nearly three-quarters of the set of real-world coding tasks—suggests AI systems are rapidly gaining the ability to understand and modify complex software projects.
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