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Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
What could happen if power, recklessness, incompetence, and indifference came together
It is terrifying that Musk, who famously warned in 2014 at MIT “ we are summoning the demon with artificial intelligence ” now seems only mildly concerned with what might happen next, in the event of some massive AI-fueled catastrophe. More broadly, Yudkowsky wrote, “The AI industry is decades away, not years away, from achieving the level of safety, assurance, understanding, and professionalism that existed in the Chernobyl control room the night their reactor exploded anyway.” ButI have seen enough to realize that there is a real risk, especially in the current anti-regulatory regime, that some exceptionally powerful person, Elon or otherwise, unconstrained in conventional ways, with a reckless disregard for humanity, could accidentally launch and spread an AI that deliberately or otherwise causes “ significant harm to the world ”.
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