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Using LLM for confidence scoring is a bad idea
LLM-based agents can do a lot of tasks. Or, at least, they can appear to do them. For example, they write code, summarize papers, plan trips, and fill in forms. If you ask one for a probability or a confidence score, it will give you one of those too. I have seen many agent designers use LLMs to generate confidence scores in this way. The problem is that there is no good reason to trust that number. This post is about why we cannot rely on an LLM to generate a confidence score.
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